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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spezia Win

37%

Spezia

2.74

30%

Draw

3.35

34%

Sampdoria

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.56

1.25

Sampdoria xG

37%
30%
34%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria

2.74

37%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

29%

Spezia

3.49

27%

Sampdoria

3.72

Win to Nil

10%

Spezia

9.56

9%

Sampdoria

11.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.066
Spezia attack strength 0.800
Spezia defence strength 1.252
Sampdoria attack strength 0.936
Sampdoria defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51