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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spezia Win

49%

Spezia

2.06

26%

Draw

3.77

25%

Sampdoria

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.96

1.21

Sampdoria xG

49%
26%
25%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria

2.06

49%

Home win

3.77

26%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

30%

Spezia

3.34

17%

Sampdoria

5.75

Win to Nil

15%

Spezia

6.88

4%

Sampdoria

23.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.0 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.6 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.6 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.749
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.956
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 1.173
Spezia attack strength 1.104
Spezia defence strength 0.952
Sampdoria attack strength 1.081
Sampdoria defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69