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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
60%
1.68
28%
3.53
12%
8.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
14.4%
Home win
0 – 0
12.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.09
0.56
Salernitana xG
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
1.68
60%
Home win
3.53
28%
Draw
8.22
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.85
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
57%
1.76
22%
4.60
Win to Nil
34%
2.95
3%
37.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.9 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.4 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.526
λ Away (xG)
0.564
Total xG
2.090
League avg home goals
1.297
League avg away goals
1.186
Spezia attack strength
1.109
Spezia defence strength
0.876
Salernitana attack strength
0.543
Salernitana defence strength
1.062
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
72 / 34