Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spezia Win

63%

Spezia

1.58

22%

Draw

4.64

15%

Cosenza

6.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Spezia xG

Total xG

3.11

0.97

Cosenza xG

63%
22%
15%
SpeziaDrawCosenza

1.58

63%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

6.58

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

38%

Spezia

2.64

12%

Cosenza

8.48

Win to Nil

24%

Spezia

4.17

2%

Cosenza

55.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 9.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 7.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.9 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.138
λ Away (xG) 0.970
Total xG 3.108
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.160
Spezia attack strength 1.181
Spezia defence strength 0.984
Cosenza attack strength 0.850
Cosenza defence strength 1.384
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75