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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
71%
1.42
20%
4.96
9%
10.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
13.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
3 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.21
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.91
0.70
Mantova xG
SpeziaDrawMantova
1.42
71%
Home win
4.96
20%
Draw
10.81
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.17
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
49%
2.02
11%
9.08
Win to Nil
35%
2.87
1%
98.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.3 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 9.7 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.206
λ Away (xG)
0.704
Total xG
2.910
League avg home goals
1.241
League avg away goals
1.054
Spezia attack strength
1.385
Spezia defence strength
0.738
Mantova attack strength
0.905
Mantova defence strength
1.284
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 18