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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Spezia

3.04

38%

Draw

2.61

29%

Juve Stabia

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.06

0.99

Juve Stabia xG

33%
38%
29%
SpeziaDrawJuve Stabia

3.04

33%

Home win

2.61

38%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

37%

Spezia

2.69

34%

Juve Stabia

2.92

Win to Nil

12%

Spezia

8.16

10%

Juve Stabia

10.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 12.6 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.7 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 7.2 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.058
League avg home goals 1.193
League avg away goals 1.040
Spezia attack strength 0.901
Spezia defence strength 0.997
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.953
Juve Stabia defence strength 0.996
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41