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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spezia Win

60%

Spezia

1.66

26%

Draw

3.90

14%

Juve Stabia

7.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.63

0.80

Juve Stabia xG

60%
26%
14%
SpeziaDrawJuve Stabia

1.66

60%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

7.08

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

45%

Spezia

2.22

16%

Juve Stabia

6.25

Win to Nil

27%

Spezia

3.69

2%

Juve Stabia

44.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 5.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 10.5 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 7.4 5.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.832
λ Away (xG) 0.798
Total xG 2.630
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.040
Spezia attack strength 1.301
Spezia defence strength 0.780
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.983
Juve Stabia defence strength 1.151
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20