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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

59%

Sassuolo

1.70

27%

Draw

3.64

14%

Sudtirol

7.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.62

0.81

Sudtirol xG

59%
27%
14%
SassuoloDrawSudtirol

1.70

59%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

7.33

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

45%

Sassuolo

2.24

16%

Sudtirol

6.15

Win to Nil

26%

Sassuolo

3.80

2%

Sudtirol

45.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 5.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 10.6 4.3 1.2 0.2
2 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 7.3 5.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.817
λ Away (xG) 0.806
Total xG 2.623
League avg home goals 1.208
League avg away goals 1.054
Sassuolo attack strength 1.475
Sassuolo defence strength 0.961
Sudtirol attack strength 0.796
Sudtirol defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59