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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

54%

Sassuolo

1.85

28%

Draw

3.55

18%

Palermo

5.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.73

0.95

Palermo xG

54%
28%
18%
SassuoloDrawPalermo

1.85

54%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

5.66

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

39%

Sassuolo

2.60

17%

Palermo

5.88

Win to Nil

21%

Sassuolo

4.79

3%

Palermo

33.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.6 11.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.772
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.726
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.083
Sassuolo attack strength 1.527
Sassuolo defence strength 0.920
Palermo attack strength 0.957
Palermo defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55