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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

18:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

70%

Sassuolo

1.44

19%

Draw

5.17

11%

Carrarese

8.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

3.11

0.82

Carrarese xG

70%
19%
SassuoloDrawCarrarese

1.44

70%

Home win

5.17

19%

Draw

8.98

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

44%

Sassuolo

2.28

10%

Carrarese

9.86

Win to Nil

30%

Sassuolo

3.28

1%

Carrarese

88.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.9 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.1 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.288
λ Away (xG) 0.825
Total xG 3.113
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.163
Sassuolo attack strength 1.483
Sassuolo defence strength 0.920
Carrarese attack strength 0.771
Carrarese defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34