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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

55%

Sassuolo

1.81

24%

Draw

4.12

21%

Brescia

4.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

3.00

1.10

Brescia xG

55%
24%
21%
SassuoloDrawBrescia

1.81

55%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.87

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

33%

Sassuolo

3.00

15%

Brescia

6.73

Win to Nil

18%

Sassuolo

5.43

3%

Brescia

32.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.4 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.3 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.906
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 3.003
League avg home goals 1.223
League avg away goals 1.095
Sassuolo attack strength 1.603
Sassuolo defence strength 1.045
Brescia attack strength 0.958
Brescia defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63