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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

56%

Sassuolo

1.77

27%

Draw

3.66

16%

Bari

6.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.45

0.79

Bari xG

56%
27%
16%
SassuoloDrawBari

1.77

56%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

6.17

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

45%

Sassuolo

2.21

19%

Bari

5.24

Win to Nil

26%

Sassuolo

3.92

3%

Bari

32.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 6.8 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.3 11.3 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.5 5.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.1 0.9 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.657
λ Away (xG) 0.793
Total xG 2.450
League avg home goals 1.201
League avg away goals 1.054
Sassuolo attack strength 1.512
Sassuolo defence strength 0.908
Bari attack strength 0.829
Bari defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66