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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

39%

Sampdoria

2.58

31%

Draw

3.20

30%

Sudtirol

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.57

1.19

Sudtirol xG

39%
31%
30%
SampdoriaDrawSudtirol

2.58

39%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

30%

Sampdoria

3.29

25%

Sudtirol

3.96

Win to Nil

12%

Sampdoria

8.49

8%

Sudtirol

13.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.1 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.2
1 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.7 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.376
λ Away (xG) 1.191
Total xG 2.567
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Sampdoria attack strength 0.811
Sampdoria defence strength 1.074
Sudtirol attack strength 1.023
Sudtirol defence strength 1.232
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74