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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

44%

Sampdoria

2.27

39%

Draw

2.58

17%

Salernitana

5.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

23.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

22.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

1.43

0.49

Salernitana xG

44%
39%
17%
SampdoriaDrawSalernitana

2.27

44%

Home win

2.58

39%

Draw

5.80

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

42%

Over 1.5

2.38

58%

Under 1.5

1.72

17%

Over 2.5

5.88

83%

Under 2.5

1.20

6%

Over 3.5

16.67

94%

Under 3.5

1.06

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

25%

BTTS Yes

4.02

75%

BTTS No

1.33

Clean Sheet

61%

Sampdoria

1.63

39%

Salernitana

2.57

Win to Nil

27%

Sampdoria

3.71

7%

Salernitana

14.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 23.9 11.7 2.9 0.5 0.1
1 22.5 11.0 2.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 5.2 1.3 0.2
3 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.942
λ Away (xG) 0.489
Total xG 1.431
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.122
Sampdoria attack strength 0.663
Sampdoria defence strength 0.830
Salernitana attack strength 0.525
Salernitana defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36