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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

35%

Sampdoria

2.85

35%

Draw

2.89

30%

Monza

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.07

0.99

Monza xG

35%
35%
30%
SampdoriaDrawMonza

2.85

35%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

37%

Sampdoria

2.69

34%

Monza

2.95

Win to Nil

13%

Sampdoria

7.66

10%

Monza

9.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 12.5 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.082
λ Away (xG) 0.989
Total xG 2.071
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.081
Sampdoria attack strength 0.854
Sampdoria defence strength 0.932
Monza attack strength 0.981
Monza defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 34