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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 25 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

37%

Sampdoria

2.72

33%

Draw

3.01

30%

Modena

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.19

1.03

Modena xG

37%
33%
30%
SampdoriaDrawModena

2.72

37%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

36%

Sampdoria

2.79

31%

Modena

3.19

Win to Nil

13%

Sampdoria

7.59

9%

Modena

10.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 11.5 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 13.4 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.159
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.107
Sampdoria attack strength 0.893
Sampdoria defence strength 0.908
Modena attack strength 1.021
Modena defence strength 0.997
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38