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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reggiana Win

24%

Salernitana

4.12

32%

Draw

3.14

44%

Reggiana

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Salernitana xG

Total xG

2.51

1.46

Reggiana xG

24%
32%
44%
SalernitanaDrawReggiana

4.12

24%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

23%

Salernitana

4.32

35%

Reggiana

2.85

Win to Nil

6%

Salernitana

17.79

15%

Reggiana

6.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 11.9 8.7 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.5 6.5 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.2
3 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 1.464
Total xG 2.513
League avg home goals 1.191
League avg away goals 1.040
Salernitana attack strength 0.900
Salernitana defence strength 1.306
Reggiana attack strength 1.077
Reggiana defence strength 0.979
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59