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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

32%

Salernitana

3.08

31%

Draw

3.22

36%

Palermo

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Salernitana xG

Total xG

2.38

1.23

Palermo xG

32%
31%
36%
SalernitanaDrawPalermo

3.08

32%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

29%

Salernitana

3.43

32%

Palermo

3.16

Win to Nil

9%

Salernitana

10.56

12%

Palermo

8.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 11.4 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.6 13.1 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.1 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.149
λ Away (xG) 1.232
Total xG 2.381
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.131
Salernitana attack strength 0.888
Salernitana defence strength 1.007
Palermo attack strength 1.082
Palermo defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68