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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

33%

Salernitana

2.99

31%

Draw

3.20

35%

Modena

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Salernitana xG

Total xG

2.39

1.21

Modena xG

33%
31%
35%
SalernitanaDrawModena

2.99

33%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

30%

Salernitana

3.37

31%

Modena

3.24

Win to Nil

10%

Salernitana

10.07

11%

Modena

9.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 11.1 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.3 7.7 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.175
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 2.389
League avg home goals 1.199
League avg away goals 1.076
Salernitana attack strength 0.923
Salernitana defence strength 1.135
Modena attack strength 0.995
Modena defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66