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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salernitana Win

52%

Salernitana

1.93

24%

Draw

4.13

24%

Mantova

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Salernitana xG

Total xG

3.16

1.25

Mantova xG

52%
24%
24%
SalernitanaDrawMantova

1.93

52%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

29%

Salernitana

3.49

15%

Mantova

6.75

Win to Nil

15%

Salernitana

6.73

4%

Mantova

28.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 10.1 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.910
λ Away (xG) 1.250
Total xG 3.160
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Salernitana attack strength 1.011
Salernitana defence strength 1.029
Mantova attack strength 1.051
Mantova defence strength 1.462
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35