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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reggiana Win

44%

Reggiana

2.29

33%

Draw

3.06

24%

Spezia

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Reggiana xG

Total xG

2.64

1.10

Spezia xG

44%
33%
24%
ReggianaDrawSpezia

2.29

44%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

33%

Reggiana

3.01

21%

Spezia

4.66

Win to Nil

15%

Reggiana

6.89

5%

Spezia

19.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 12.1 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.4 9.3 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.156
Reggiana attack strength 1.172
Reggiana defence strength 1.155
Spezia attack strength 0.826
Spezia defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43