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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Pisa cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Reggiana.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Pisa beat Reggiana 0-2 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Regular Season - 33, in the Serie B. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Reggiana 1.00 xG and Pisa 1.44 xG, a combined 2.44. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Reggiana fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Reggiana attack 0.90 / defence 1.13 against Pisa attack 1.10 / defence 0.88, drawn from 70/70 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Reggiana 24% | Draw 30% | Pisa 46%, with Pisa to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Reggiana 39%, Pisa 56%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Reggiana's trading profile (70 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Pisa's trading profile (70 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Pisa arrived the stronger side — 1.53 PPG against 1.13. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Reggiana (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.97 scoring average — below par going forward. Pisa (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.26 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights