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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reggiana Win

42%

Reggiana

2.40

35%

Draw

2.83

23%

Padova

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

17.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Reggiana xG

Total xG

1.74

0.70

Padova xG

42%
35%
23%
ReggianaDrawPadova

2.40

42%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.95

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

50%

Reggiana

2.01

35%

Padova

2.84

Win to Nil

21%

Reggiana

4.82

8%

Padova

12.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5 12.2 4.3 1.0 0.2
1 18.3 12.8 4.5 1.0 0.2
2 9.5 6.7 2.3 0.5 0.1
3 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 0.9 0.6 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.043
λ Away (xG) 0.700
Total xG 1.743
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.057
Reggiana attack strength 0.924
Reggiana defence strength 0.905
Padova attack strength 0.731
Padova defence strength 0.850
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15