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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reggiana Win

39%

Reggiana

2.59

36%

Draw

2.74

25%

Catanzaro

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Reggiana xG

Total xG

2.22

0.97

Catanzaro xG

39%
36%
25%
ReggianaDrawCatanzaro

2.59

39%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

38%

Reggiana

2.65

29%

Catanzaro

3.49

Win to Nil

15%

Reggiana

6.84

7%

Catanzaro

14.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.5 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 13.2 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.250
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 2.223
League avg home goals 1.193
League avg away goals 1.040
Reggiana attack strength 1.181
Reggiana defence strength 1.057
Catanzaro attack strength 0.886
Catanzaro defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41