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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Reggiana

3.34

36%

Draw

2.75

34%

Bari

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Reggiana xG

Total xG

1.88

0.97

Bari xG

30%
36%
34%
ReggianaDrawBari

3.34

30%

Home win

2.75

36%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

38%

Reggiana

2.65

40%

Bari

2.47

Win to Nil

11%

Reggiana

8.83

14%

Bari

7.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3 14.9 7.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.8 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.904
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 1.877
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.040
Reggiana attack strength 0.867
Reggiana defence strength 1.105
Bari attack strength 0.847
Bari defence strength 0.852
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58