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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

49%

Palermo

2.02

34%

Draw

2.95

17%

Venezia

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.25

0.79

Venezia xG

49%
34%
17%
PalermoDrawVenezia

2.02

49%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

45%

Palermo

2.21

23%

Venezia

4.31

Win to Nil

22%

Palermo

4.47

4%

Venezia

25.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 8.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.3 12.2 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.2 8.9 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.462
λ Away (xG) 0.792
Total xG 2.254
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.156
Palermo attack strength 1.054
Palermo defence strength 0.791
Venezia attack strength 0.866
Venezia defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 5