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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

48%

Palermo

2.08

26%

Draw

3.91

26%

Sudtirol

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Palermo xG

Total xG

3.14

1.32

Sudtirol xG

48%
26%
26%
PalermoDrawSudtirol

2.08

48%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

27%

Palermo

3.73

16%

Sudtirol

6.22

Win to Nil

13%

Palermo

7.75

4%

Sudtirol

23.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.9 10.4 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.827
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 3.143
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.186
Palermo attack strength 1.224
Palermo defence strength 1.078
Sudtirol attack strength 1.029
Sudtirol defence strength 1.152
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72