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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Palermo Win
57%
1.75
25%
3.93
17%
5.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.64
Palermo xG
Total xG
2.43
0.79
Spezia xG
PalermoDrawSpezia
1.75
57%
Home win
3.93
25%
Draw
5.76
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.24
55%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
19%
5.17
Win to Nil
26%
3.85
3%
29.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.4 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 9.4 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.643
λ Away (xG)
0.790
Total xG
2.433
League avg home goals
1.288
League avg away goals
1.054
Palermo attack strength
1.166
Palermo defence strength
0.745
Spezia attack strength
1.006
Spezia defence strength
1.094
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57