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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

34%

Palermo

2.95

30%

Draw

3.29

36%

Sassuolo

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.51

1.27

Sassuolo xG

34%
30%
36%
PalermoDrawSassuolo

2.95

34%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

28%

Palermo

3.58

29%

Sassuolo

3.45

Win to Nil

9%

Palermo

10.54

10%

Sassuolo

9.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.3 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.2 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.513
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.144
Palermo attack strength 1.022
Palermo defence strength 0.990
Sassuolo attack strength 1.125
Sassuolo defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31