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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

44%

Palermo

2.27

28%

Draw

3.52

27%

Reggiana

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.80

1.22

Reggiana xG

44%
28%
27%
PalermoDrawReggiana

2.27

44%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

30%

Palermo

3.38

20%

Reggiana

4.88

Win to Nil

13%

Palermo

7.66

6%

Reggiana

17.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.6 11.7 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.586
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.803
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.175
Palermo attack strength 1.083
Palermo defence strength 1.008
Reggiana attack strength 1.028
Reggiana defence strength 1.076
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38