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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

49%

Palermo

2.04

29%

Draw

3.48

22%

Mantova

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.50

0.96

Mantova xG

49%
29%
22%
PalermoDrawMantova

2.04

49%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

38%

Palermo

2.62

22%

Mantova

4.64

Win to Nil

19%

Palermo

5.35

5%

Mantova

20.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.6 12.2 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.3 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.9 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.498
League avg home goals 1.240
League avg away goals 1.091
Palermo attack strength 0.936
Palermo defence strength 0.848
Mantova attack strength 1.042
Mantova defence strength 1.321
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25