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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

42%

Palermo

2.37

29%

Draw

3.42

29%

Frosinone

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.55

1.13

Frosinone xG

42%
29%
29%
PalermoDrawFrosinone

2.37

42%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

32%

Palermo

3.10

24%

Frosinone

4.15

Win to Nil

14%

Palermo

7.35

7%

Frosinone

14.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.5 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 8.9 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.422
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.554
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.122
Palermo attack strength 1.174
Palermo defence strength 1.164
Frosinone attack strength 0.866
Frosinone defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36