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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Palermo

3.21

37%

Draw

2.69

32%

Bari

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.2%

Away win

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Palermo xG

Total xG

1.76

0.88

Bari xG

31%
37%
32%
PalermoDrawBari

3.21

31%

Home win

2.69

37%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.77

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

41%

Palermo

2.42

42%

Bari

2.40

Win to Nil

13%

Palermo

7.76

13%

Bari

7.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.2 15.2 6.7 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 6.6 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2
4 0.4 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.876
λ Away (xG) 0.883
Total xG 1.759
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.059
Palermo attack strength 0.860
Palermo defence strength 0.924
Bari attack strength 0.904
Bari defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56