Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

18:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

68%

Palermo

1.46

21%

Draw

4.85

11%

Avellino

9.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.95

0.77

Avellino xG

68%
21%
PalermoDrawAvellino

1.46

68%

Home win

4.85

21%

Draw

9.19

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

46%

Palermo

2.17

11%

Avellino

8.83

Win to Nil

32%

Palermo

3.17

1%

Avellino

81.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.4 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.2
2 12.4 9.6 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 9.0 7.0 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.9 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.178
λ Away (xG) 0.774
Total xG 2.952
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.110
Palermo attack strength 1.283
Palermo defence strength 0.865
Avellino attack strength 0.807
Avellino defence strength 1.227
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32