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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

29%

Padova

3.43

38%

Draw

2.65

33%

Virtus Entella

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Padova xG

Total xG

2.12

1.10

Virtus Entella xG

29%
38%
33%
PadovaDrawVirtus Entella

3.43

29%

Home win

2.65

38%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

33%

Padova

3.00

36%

Virtus Entella

2.79

Win to Nil

10%

Padova

10.30

12%

Virtus Entella

8.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 13.1 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 13.5 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.3 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.025
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 2.125
League avg home goals 1.254
League avg away goals 1.132
Padova attack strength 0.744
Padova defence strength 1.135
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.856
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 3