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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 5 Dec 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Padova Win

52%

Padova

1.93

28%

Draw

3.55

20%

Vicenza Virtus

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Padova xG

Total xG

2.43

0.88

Vicenza Virtus xG

52%
28%
20%
PadovaDrawVicenza Virtus

1.93

52%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

42%

Padova

2.41

21%

Vicenza Virtus

4.70

Win to Nil

22%

Padova

4.65

4%

Vicenza Virtus

23.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 7.8 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 13.7 12.0 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.5 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.548
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Padova attack strength 0.872
Padova defence strength 0.965
Vicenza Virtus attack strength 0.850
Vicenza Virtus defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0