Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Padova Win

38%

Padova

2.62

31%

Draw

3.23

31%

Sampdoria

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Padova xG

Total xG

2.27

1.06

Sampdoria xG

38%
31%
31%
PadovaDrawSampdoria

2.62

38%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

35%

Padova

2.89

30%

Sampdoria

3.35

Win to Nil

13%

Padova

7.55

9%

Sampdoria

10.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 11.0 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.3 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.6 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.270
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 1.063
Padova attack strength 0.810
Padova defence strength 1.293
Sampdoria attack strength 0.771
Sampdoria defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54