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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

31%

Padova

3.18

29%

Draw

3.42

39%

Monza

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Padova xG

Total xG

2.40

1.28

Monza xG

31%
29%
39%
PadovaDrawMonza

3.18

31%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

28%

Padova

3.60

33%

Monza

3.06

Win to Nil

9%

Padova

11.45

13%

Monza

7.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 11.6 7.4 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 10.2 13.0 8.3 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 5.7 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.1 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 1.281
Total xG 2.400
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.019
Padova attack strength 0.901
Padova defence strength 1.219
Monza attack strength 1.031
Monza defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 21