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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Padova Win

36%

Padova

2.82

31%

Draw

3.21

33%

Empoli

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Padova xG

Total xG

2.54

1.25

Empoli xG

36%
31%
33%
PadovaDrawEmpoli

2.82

36%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

29%

Padova

3.48

27%

Empoli

3.65

Win to Nil

10%

Padova

9.81

9%

Empoli

10.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.8 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.295
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.543
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.086
Padova attack strength 0.772
Padova defence strength 1.258
Empoli attack strength 0.913
Empoli defence strength 1.209
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33