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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Mon 8 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

24%

Padova

4.19

29%

Draw

3.44

47%

Cesena

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Padova xG

Total xG

2.43

1.46

Cesena xG

24%
29%
47%
PadovaDrawCesena

4.19

24%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

23%

Padova

4.30

38%

Cesena

2.65

Win to Nil

6%

Padova

17.99

18%

Cesena

5.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.8 9.3 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 8.6 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.2 6.1 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.973
λ Away (xG) 1.458
Total xG 2.431
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.085
Padova attack strength 0.801
Padova defence strength 1.325
Cesena attack strength 1.014
Cesena defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52