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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Monza Win
44%
2.25
33%
2.99
22%
4.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.9%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
Monza xG
Total xG
1.91
0.74
Sudtirol xG
MonzaDrawSudtirol
2.25
44%
Home win
2.99
33%
Draw
4.52
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.67
63%
BTTS No
1.60
Clean Sheet
48%
2.10
31%
3.20
Win to Nil
21%
4.73
7%
14.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.9 | 11.0 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.3 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.1 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.164
λ Away (xG)
0.743
Total xG
1.907
League avg home goals
1.369
League avg away goals
1.085
Monza attack strength
0.921
Monza defence strength
0.815
Sudtirol attack strength
0.840
Sudtirol defence strength
0.924
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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