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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

37%

Monza

2.71

36%

Draw

2.80

27%

Sampdoria

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Monza xG

Total xG

2.35

1.08

Sampdoria xG

37%
36%
27%
MonzaDrawSampdoria

2.71

37%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

34%

Monza

2.94

28%

Sampdoria

3.56

Win to Nil

13%

Monza

7.96

8%

Sampdoria

12.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.3 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.7 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.347
League avg home goals 1.199
League avg away goals 1.095
Monza attack strength 0.853
Monza defence strength 1.017
Sampdoria attack strength 0.967
Sampdoria defence strength 1.242
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41