Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

50%

Monza

1.98

30%

Draw

3.39

20%

Modena

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Monza xG

Total xG

2.48

0.92

Modena xG

50%
30%
20%
MonzaDrawModena

1.98

50%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

40%

Monza

2.50

21%

Modena

4.77

Win to Nil

20%

Monza

4.96

4%

Modena

23.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
1 13.1 12.0 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.4 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 0.917
Total xG 2.479
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.107
Monza attack strength 1.178
Monza defence strength 0.796
Modena attack strength 1.041
Modena defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73