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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Tue 19 May 2026

19:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

54%

Monza

1.84

27%

Draw

3.65

18%

Juve Stabia

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Monza xG

Total xG

2.51

0.87

Juve Stabia xG

54%
27%
18%
MonzaDrawJuve Stabia

1.84

54%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

42%

Monza

2.38

19%

Juve Stabia

5.15

Win to Nil

23%

Monza

4.39

4%

Juve Stabia

27.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.1 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.4 11.6 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.639
λ Away (xG) 0.867
Total xG 2.506
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Monza attack strength 1.124
Monza defence strength 0.886
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.909
Juve Stabia defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 76