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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Monza Win
64%
1.55
25%
4.08
11%
8.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
14.2%
Home win
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.82
Monza xG
Total xG
2.46
0.64
Empoli xG
MonzaDrawEmpoli
1.55
64%
Home win
4.08
25%
Draw
8.99
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
53%
1.89
16%
6.15
Win to Nil
34%
2.94
2%
55.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.6 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.2 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.817
λ Away (xG)
0.639
Total xG
2.456
League avg home goals
1.380
League avg away goals
1.062
Monza attack strength
1.129
Monza defence strength
0.773
Empoli attack strength
0.779
Empoli defence strength
1.166
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
37 / 37