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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

59%

Modena

1.71

29%

Draw

3.44

12%

Virtus Entella

8.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Modena xG

Total xG

2.56

0.77

Virtus Entella xG

59%
29%
12%
ModenaDrawVirtus Entella

1.71

59%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

8.04

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

46%

Modena

2.16

17%

Virtus Entella

6.00

Win to Nil

27%

Modena

3.69

2%

Virtus Entella

48.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.8 10.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 12.4 9.5 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.4 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 2.5 1.0 0.3
5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.791
λ Away (xG) 0.770
Total xG 2.561
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.121
Modena attack strength 1.054
Modena defence strength 0.933
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.736
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.271
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6