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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

47%

Modena

2.12

30%

Draw

3.32

23%

Venezia

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Modena xG

Total xG

2.24

0.88

Venezia xG

47%
30%
23%
ModenaDrawVenezia

2.12

47%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

42%

Modena

2.40

25%

Venezia

3.93

Win to Nil

20%

Modena

5.10

6%

Venezia

17.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
1 14.5 12.7 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.5 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.368
λ Away (xG) 0.876
Total xG 2.244
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 1.063
Modena attack strength 1.024
Modena defence strength 0.903
Venezia attack strength 0.912
Venezia defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16