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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

48%

Modena

2.09

31%

Draw

3.25

22%

Sudtirol

4.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Modena xG

Total xG

2.33

0.90

Sudtirol xG

48%
31%
22%
ModenaDrawSudtirol

2.09

48%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

4.64

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Modena

2.45

24%

Sudtirol

4.20

Win to Nil

20%

Modena

5.13

5%

Sudtirol

19.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 14.0 12.5 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.8 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.436
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 2.331
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.055
Modena attack strength 1.043
Modena defence strength 1.001
Sudtirol attack strength 0.847
Sudtirol defence strength 1.110
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57