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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

47%

Modena

2.13

29%

Draw

3.42

24%

Reggiana

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Modena xG

Total xG

2.50

1.00

Reggiana xG

47%
29%
24%
ModenaDrawReggiana

2.13

47%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

37%

Modena

2.73

22%

Reggiana

4.45

Win to Nil

17%

Modena

5.81

5%

Reggiana

18.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.3 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 12.3 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.2 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.493
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.496
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.186
Modena attack strength 0.974
Modena defence strength 1.031
Reggiana attack strength 0.820
Reggiana defence strength 1.183
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72