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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

38%

Modena

2.65

28%

Draw

3.63

35%

Palermo

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Modena xG

Total xG

2.44

1.19

Palermo xG

38%
28%
35%
ModenaDrawPalermo

2.65

38%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

31%

Modena

3.27

29%

Palermo

3.49

Win to Nil

12%

Modena

8.67

10%

Palermo

10.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.4 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.8 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.250
λ Away (xG) 1.186
Total xG 2.436
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.056
Modena attack strength 1.014
Modena defence strength 1.052
Palermo attack strength 1.068
Palermo defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58